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Anna Pestova

30 July 2025
WORKING PAPER SERIES - No. 3083
Details
Abstract
College enrolment typically rises during recessions. This paper demonstrates that housing wealth destruction dampened this countercyclical effect in areas most affected by the U.S. housing bust of 2008-2011. By combining household data with a mortgage credit register and housing price data, we reveal that negative shocks to housing wealth significantly reduced college enrolment among homeowners relative to renters during this period. Up to 2% of the local college-age population did not pursue college enrolment at the height of the bust due to housing wealth destruction. The negative impact of homeownership on college education persists for a decade, contributing to persistently lower incomes among homeowners in the most affected areas.
JEL Code
I24 : Health, Education, and Welfare→Education and Research Institutions→Education and Inequality
E32 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Business Fluctuations, Cycles
J24 : Labor and Demographic Economics→Demand and Supply of Labor→Human Capital, Skills, Occupational Choice, Labor Productivity