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Brian Amorim Cabaco

13 February 2025
ECONOMIC BULLETIN - BOX
Economic Bulletin Issue 1, 2025
Details
Abstract
Monetary policy communication is important for managing policy expectations and enhancing the effectiveness of central bank policy decisions. The prevalence of topics in the ECB’s communication has shifted over time with the focus of its work: from the creation and introduction of the euro to addressing financial crises with new policy instruments, and more recently, to tackling the effects of the 2021-22 inflation surges. The analysis shows that, while press releases and monetary policy statements following Governing Council meetings lead to significant immediate changes in asset prices, communication taking place between these meetings also has a meaningful impact, with a substantial cumulative effect over time. A holistic understanding of the impact of Governing Council communication – both immediately after its meetings and between one meeting and the next – is central for managing expectations and shaping monetary policy outcomes.
JEL Code
E52 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Monetary Policy
E58 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Central Banks and Their Policies
E61 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook→Policy Objectives, Policy Designs and Consistency, Policy Coordination