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Lourdes Maria Zulli Gandur

13 November 2025
ECONOMIC BULLETIN - BOX
Economic Bulletin Issue 7, 2025
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Abstract
This box draws on micro price evidence on the frequency of price adjustments to disentangle the roles of sticky and flexible-price items in shaping recent disinflation dynamics in the euro area. Inflation of sticky core items has eased only gradually, while flexible core inflation has returned closer to its pre-pandemic average. Among subcategories, flexible goods drove the surge in non-energy industrial goods inflation, while the persistence of services inflation reflects contributions from both sticky and flexible-price items. The recent persistence of sticky core inflation underscores the roles of past cost shocks and elevated wage pressures. In view of its close link to long-term inflation expectations and the moderation of wage pressures, sticky core inflation is likely to disinflate further.
JEL Code
E31 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Price Level, Inflation, Deflation
20 March 2025
ECONOMIC BULLETIN - BOX
Economic Bulletin Issue 2, 2025
Details
Abstract
Historically, stronger dynamics in services prices than in non-energy industrial goods (NEIG) prices have led to a persistent positive gap between services and NEIG inflation rates. However, the relative price of goods versus services rose rapidly in 2021-2022 before subsequently falling back. This box reviews this episode and examines whether the pre-pandemic trend in this relative price development provides a good benchmark for future developments, also taking into account the potential impact of structural factors related to deglobalisation, digitalisation, demographic trends and climate change.
JEL Code
E31 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Price Level, Inflation, Deflation
E52 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Monetary Policy